Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 16.784196 19.065354 21.637551 24.771686 28.512914 32.867769 38.367560
2025-08-31 13.420906 16.208246 19.614783 24.147072 30.115493 37.847373 48.861065
2025-09-07 11.609090 14.594677 18.444545 23.886112 31.571107 42.347664 59.200305
2025-09-14 10.028277 12.977203 16.931247 22.777713 31.487857 44.487614 66.425398
2025-09-21 8.786483 11.632303 15.568409 21.604451 31.002513 45.787518 72.448269
2025-09-28 7.945006 10.735654 14.705358 21.000115 31.213205 48.108244 80.620318
2025-10-05 8.095706 11.252943 15.923365 23.689222 37.063276 60.900350 111.589740
2025-10-12 7.785664 11.048228 16.015943 24.576062 40.008415 69.180276 136.502040
2025-10-19 7.172479 10.322439 15.214575 23.855665 39.944746 71.672225 149.466297
2025-10-26 6.934998 10.157195 15.287115 24.636840 42.782833 80.608146 181.265019
2025-11-02 6.515427 9.665450 14.772447 24.299425 43.375944 84.871161 202.681381
2025-11-09 6.120896 9.183874 14.230954 23.845492 43.653251 88.473582 223.807424
2025-11-16 5.782353 8.785817 13.825036 23.653333 44.568031 94.104869 255.050628
2025-11-23 5.409220 8.304748 13.236206 23.045790 44.501325 97.358932 280.615828
2025-11-30 5.127047 7.957516 12.854579 22.801124 45.204741 102.813315 317.599206
2025-12-07 4.758224 7.436779 12.118212 21.756421 43.887512 102.438805 331.825096
2025-12-14 4.412296 6.936358 11.385315 20.649745 42.272061 100.887646 340.658760
2025-12-21 4.165403 6.596544 10.927959 20.079324 41.889048 102.910810 367.213014
2025-12-28 4.322949 6.985050 11.870025 22.615555 49.783268 133.080022 562.200794
2026-01-04 4.261074 6.970122 12.032279 23.450901 53.424788 151.000029 718.080409
2026-01-11 4.038307 6.644464 11.556786 22.772372 52.756647 153.309346 775.085490
2026-01-18 3.978025 6.618785 11.679793 23.508131 56.279717 172.861501 992.181853
2026-01-25 3.816285 6.391714 11.376435 23.190382 56.636086 180.022072 1121.492492